Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 901.116612 1022.718733 1159.689496 1326.394380 1525.144815 1756.190988 2047.564962
2025-02-02 731.859742 891.820197 1089.672721 1356.459695 1713.210908 2183.370934 2866.571663
2025-02-09 637.023321 811.191726 1039.714095 1369.228553 1845.682759 2532.297747 3642.154735
2025-02-16 563.400798 741.817912 986.781323 1359.194082 1932.971528 2824.316800 4406.101239
2025-02-23 521.427572 707.347261 973.284017 1397.806533 2092.360668 3253.302621 5518.216068
2025-03-02 489.254806 681.410324 966.484633 1442.204163 2265.268891 3741.007619 6905.170658
2025-03-09 456.306027 649.742097 945.736447 1458.957325 2391.751458 4173.942797 8350.138673
2025-03-16 423.029411 613.615261 912.955773 1449.263094 2466.794328 4524.381056 9758.904671
2025-03-23 401.447638 593.315338 902.781280 1476.307571 2614.704009 5061.656350 11884.432180
2025-03-30 369.142603 552.693808 854.278639 1426.700380 2600.263422 5238.121666 13121.517135
2025-04-06 341.534557 517.433441 811.382252 1381.747849 2587.020438 5413.903155 14455.864679
2025-04-13 316.121733 483.856544 768.322499 1331.068730 2552.606991 5529.715232 15670.495603
2025-04-20 308.311435 480.060678 778.655200 1389.136979 2777.249139 6397.439967 20233.842665
2025-04-27 296.986165 469.329596 775.497746 1419.905890 2947.446800 7187.588249 25296.057321
2025-05-04 284.538985 455.510984 765.053055 1433.571018 3078.881153 7916.639324 30914.348822
2025-05-11 270.329853 437.415206 744.720527 1422.914948 3146.204866 8473.309126 36378.830342
2025-05-18 263.159801 431.538736 747.405288 1463.876808 3360.813581 9624.242154 47137.188766
2025-05-25 257.065766 427.130638 752.470411 1510.997681 3605.179641 11013.788539 62483.152459
2025-06-01 248.443856 417.297282 745.591683 1528.784978 3769.260109 12185.848885 79224.205719
2025-06-08 237.849279 402.961452 728.165886 1518.491925 3845.965291 13038.988326 95613.279367
2025-06-15 231.485367 396.375029 726.394930 1547.209878 4054.993525 14625.121214 126574.996678
2025-06-22 218.686827 376.383114 694.462087 1494.540055 3983.572244 14822.111952 140029.055149
2025-06-29 207.191018 358.364515 665.581158 1446.839123 3920.704105 15046.701932 155548.955481